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Aaron Eamer

Aaron Eamer writes

Posted Saturday, April 28th 2018

Analysis » By the numbers - Force @ Flyers

Bristol Flyers statistician, Aaron Eamer breaks down the stats which led to Friday night's 76-59 victory over Leeds Force.

Firstly, let’s start by saying I think we all knew the Flyers would take this win. Leeds has been bad this season, winning just a single game in 31 outings before tip. This game was more about seeing it out than finding a way to win it.

BOX SCORE


THE GAZMEND SINANI SHOW

Bristol started out of the blocks a little slowly, and with five minutes of the game gone, was down 7-5. It didn’t last as after this brief lead, the Flyers allowed the Force to score only two more points in the first quarter. All of Leeds’ points in the quarter came from Gazmend Sinani who put up all nine, Leeds were looking like a one-man band as everyone else shot 0%.

Bristol in comparison weren’t shooting great but as with recent contests, offensive rebounding was once again getting Flyers the ball back. Marcus Delpeche registered six offensive rebounds in the first period alone! Unfortunately, only two second chance points dropped as the extra possessions didn’t really contribute heavily.

The Flyers though were handling the ball well. The home side logged just one turnover in the first period, and I believe this was on the opening play of the game. The ball handling was solid and because of this, Leeds weren’t able to grab any extra offensive possessions, being limited to just 14 shots in comparison to Bristol’s 23.

Leeds wasn’t able to grab (m)any extra possessions, this was evident on turnovers but also on offensive rebounding. Whereas the Flyers pulled in seven, the Force had zero and just weren’t following up their missed shots. Bristol may have missed 16 shots in the quarter but they were active in chasing down seven of them, ensuring Leeds weren’t able to catch the Flyers’ defence napping.


COLD IN THE SECOND

As we moved onto the second quarter Bristol were again doing just enough to get through. Four Flyers’ were shooting 0% though with Nicholls, Taylor, Davis and Weary missing all of their at least, three shots each for the game so far. This slack was picked up across the rest of the side as the points were spread around.

The Flyers were this time able to force turnovers from Leeds as the away side gave up the ball seven times, and Bristol converted these turnovers into seven more points. 

Leeds began to rebound though at least and gained scoring contributions from outlets not named Gazmend Sinani. Sinani was almost shut down for the quarter with him taking only two shot attempts.

It was a low scoring affair with both teams shooting at low rates. Bristol at 37%, Leeds at 31% for the half. Bristol’s three-point shooting of 8% too was a particular lowlight, Jordan Davis leading the way with 0/4.

SUCCESS FROM THE BENCH

Bristol was able to tear their bad three-point shooting apart in the third, making 3/4 for the period, shooting 100% from the foul line and adding 21 points for the quarter. At the other end, Leeds also added 21, making 7/12 of their two-point attempts.

Leeds found their success from inside the paint, with 12 of their 21 coming from under the basket, and six of them coming from second chance points. Big-men Mo Williams and Gazmend Sinani were now both on 11 rebounds apiece and Williams in-particular made three of his four attempts in the quarter to keep Leeds in sight. 

For Bristol, their success came off the bench, primarily through Adam Weary. The Guard added ten points in the third quarter as he shot 80% for the period. 

At the start of the fourth it looked like Leeds might form an unlikely comeback as they cut the Bristol lead to eight but in the final five minutes the Flyers just didn’t allow it. The Force fell flat in those final minutes, scoring just three points as the Flyers extended their lead to the largest of the game at 17 - How it finished.

POINTS IN THE PAINT

Daniel Edozie contributed heavily in the fourth with seven of his 11 rebounds (and two of his three blocks) for the night in the final period. Once again though, Bristol went back to what has worked for them so well recently - points in the paint. The Flyers made 14 of their 18 final period points from the paint and just like against Worcester last week, Brandon Boggs was the man to finish off the game and do the damage. Boggs dropped ten in the final period to secure the game and make sure Leeds came away empty handed once again.

The Force didn’t give the ball to their leading scorer who had done so well for them early in the game, with Gazmend Sinani not taking a single shot. After his nine first quarter points, the big-man only registered another six for the entire game, shooting only 2/6 in the three quarters after his 4/7 first period.

Overall, the Flyers handled the ball well, turning the ball over exactly half the times Leeds did, they grabbed offensive rebounds at a high rate, missing 47 shots but rebounding 20 of them (43%). Bristol also scored from 50% of their shots within the paint for the game. Outside of the paint, Bristol shot just 9 of 34, of which five were three point shots at a 23% clip. A bench contribution of 32 points will also quite clearly help, but this was a game we did see extended minutes for the Bristol bench so that was always reasonably likely.

Much of this side’s recent success has come from within the paint and with the playoffs coming next week it will no doubt be interesting to see if this continues. The opposition will be a much more difficult task to undertake, but one the Flyers should be looking to attack, knowing they can score and rebound from within close range.

Failing that, you’re much more likely to get fouled within the paint and we all know how much love I put on the simple, classic free throw.


About the contributor

A passionate fan of basketball since 2004, Aaron briefly played at SGS (then Filton College) under Head Coach Andreas Kapoulas.

Fast forward a number of years, Aaron now contributes to recording the statistics for the Flyers home games as a club Statistician, you’ll often find him sat at the table courtside taking stats into his laptop at every home game.

Do you agree with Aaron? Follow him on Twitter @eamer and let him know what you think!

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