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Aaron Eamer


Posted Monday, November 27th 2017

Analysis » By the numbers - Eagles @ Flyers

Bristol Flyers statistician, Aaron Eamer breaks down the key stats from Saturday’s game against Newcastle Eagles at the WISE Arena.

Thanks to those of you who read last week’s analysis and those of you who are back again.  In today’s post we continue to analyse Flyers’ home games and take a look into the 29-point loss to league leading, Newcastle Eagles. If you have any questions or hate mail I can be found on Twitter as @eamer.

Let's break it down...

The Flyers never got going on Saturday, and I mean… never. The second quarter was the Flyers’ best as they scored 18 points, but were still outscored by Newcastle who scored 19.

We’re getting ahead of ourselves here though, let’s start at the beginning.


Within the first five minutes we had a close game, Flyers 7, Eagles 9. Not much in it, but suddenly in the final five minutes of the quarter Newcastle flipped a switch and everything started to drop. Newcastle were able to record eight first quarter assists, therefore assisting on more points for the quarter than Bristol scored in total (14).

Bristol themselves were only able to record three assists and also recorded six turnovers, giving them an assists-to-turnover ratio of two turnovers for every assist. The biggest problem for the quarter though was that for these six turnovers, Newcastle were able to score 11 points off of them.

End of the first, Bristol 14 Newcastle 30.

Shooting woes...

Mike Vigor made 100% of his shots for the first-half in absence of the scoring efforts of many other options. All three of Bristol’s point guard options that had played to this point combined for a total of zero points and only two shots.

It didn’t get much better elsewhere as Brandon Boggs’ shooting woes continued. The high-flyer scored just one second-half point in last week’s loss to the London Lions and by half-time here had just three, making under 17% of his shots. That’s an average of one point per quarter for the previous four quarters of play.

Alongside the scoring issues, Newcastle continued to capitalise from Bristol turnovers and now totalled 22 points off of those turnovers by half-time. Bristol’s points from Newcastle turnovers? Zero.

Into the third quarter the game became a bit of a three-point shootout. Newcastle were able to make over 83% of their threes for the quarter and were up to 52% for the game. Bristol seemed to get caught up in the shooting and took six threes of their own, making none. The Flyers’ three-point shooting for the night dropping to just 17% in the process.

Jordan Davis took his assist tally to nine but with the Newcastle lead now up to 27, it was effectively game over.

The fourth quarter was just a formality, and was the lowest scoring quarter of the game for both sides.  Newcastle turned the ball over five times, compared to just six over the first three quarters. This gave the Flyers their first, and only points from turnovers for the game.

Saah Nimley finished with a joint game-high 18 points on 43% shooting from the field.

Where was the game won and lost?

Ultimately there were two big points to pull from the game. Firstly, and obviously, points from turnovers.

Bristol turned the ball over 16 times, and from these turnovers Newcastle were able to score 23 points. In comparison, Newcastle turned the ball over 11 times and Bristol were able to score just two points from these opportunities. If any team is going to lose that battle by over 20 points, the game is going to be a huge uphill battle.

The second point; three-point shooting.

Bristol shot 15 attempts from behind-the-arc, making just two. One for Mike Vigor and one for Rohndell Goodwin (both shooting 50%). Jordan Davis though missed all four attempts and Leslee Smith missed all three of his. Smith shot as many times from distance for the game as he did from within the three-point line. Newcastle in comparison made 12 of their attempts.

Newcastle’s made threes totalled 36 points, whereas Bristol’s threes totalled to just 6 - A 30 point difference.

The total difference between the sides at the final buzzer? 29.

About the contributor

A passionate fan of basketball since 2004, Aaron briefly played at SGS (then Filton College) under Head Coach Andreas Kapoulas.

Fast forward a number of years, Aaron now contributes to recording the statistics for the Flyers home games as a club Statistician, you’ll often find him sat at the table courtside taping stats into his laptop at every home game.

Do you agree with Aaron? Follow him on Twitter @eamer and let him know what you think!